Regardless, he’s a strong prospect with a good floor and a chance to start right away. We want fantasy running backs to be active in the passing game but historically, prospects with his type of receiving profile don’t hit at as high of a rate. Is it likely to happen? That’s where my questions come in. Can he be a productive receiver in the NFL? Absolutely. He gets pushed up a bit here due to position scarcity. Walker is a solid prospect, and his draft capital certainly boosted his score in my model. Kenneth Walker III | Seattle Seahawks | RB2 But his game is perfect for today’s NFL, and we should see some production immediately.

Going to New York isn’t great for a rock-solid situation because so much is dependent on Zack Wilson. He’s an early declare with a strong production profile despite sharing time with other Round 1 wideouts. Garrett Wilson | New York Jets | WR3Īrguably my favorite wideout from this class, Wilson has it all. His age-adjusted production profile, elite size and opportunity give him an argument as WR1. His route running is very raw, but he’s an absolute tank after the catch. Burks isn’t a true X and played most of his snaps from the slot. Brown when you get past the size comparisons. Treylon Burks | Tennessee Titans | WR2īurks dominated SEC competition, but I understand the question marks. He’s an early declare with a young breakout age and elite numbers across the board. But he has the role to start right away at the X-receiver spot, and his production metrics were off the charts. London has a cloudy outlook because of the quarterback situation. The order in which the players are placed isn’t a big deal, and they are interchangeable. Tier Overview: This tier is tough because it could technically be much bigger than these four players. There should be no debate about 1.01 in rookie drafts regardless of format. There’s a chance Hall splits time early with Michael Carter, but the latter isn’t into the same tier of player. He also proved his chops in the passing game. His 2.13 best yards-per-team-play stat is the second-highest among 2022 drafted running backs. He has the size, speed and production of an elite player. Hall has everything we want in today’s NFL running back. Though the landing spot isn’t ideal in New York, Hall will have a role immediately in an intriguing offense that made an effort to build around second-year quarterback Zack Wilson. In fact, I was a bit scared at how high the model spit out his score. I don’t think it’s really close between Hall and the rest of the class. Syndication: The Des Moines Register Breece Hall | New York Jets | RB1 If you have any questions or simply want to bash me for these rankings, hit me up on Twitter ( without further ado, here are my fantasy football rookie rankings for the 2022 draft class:

Some subjectivity is involved based on landing spot and overall skill sets. That spits out a number and then I place the players into tiers. It’s mostly historical data that involves draft capital, market share statistics, age-adjusted production and athletic testing. But I feel I’m finally at a good starting point.īut I wanted you to know how I go through my rankings. It’s still very early in the process, and it’s likely to change as time goes on. That’s why I’ve spent the last few years trying to build a regression model to project an incoming player’s PPR points-per-game over his first three seasons. What is most likely a player going to turn into given what we know about similar players from the past? But we are-or should be-talking about the highest probability outcome. Instead of looking at these rookies (or any player in fantasy football) as if there is a rigid outlook, it’s best to take the approach with a range of outcome in mind.Īnything can happen with these rookies. We have no idea how these players will pan out, but given that fantasy football is a numbers-driven game, we can use historical data and a bit of subjectivity to give a range of outcomes for a certain player.

They are typically are met with reasonable and constructive comments.

Since this is a dynasty approach, the short-term implications aren’t as much of a concern. Doing so now might be a bit early, but it’s a nice little segway into preparing for the regular season. While there is still a lot of time before the redraft ones take place, those in dynasty leagues are already going through their rookie-only drafts. The 2022 NFL draft is over, which means fantasy football managers will begin preparations for their upcoming drafts.

Fantasy football dynasty rankings